In a thought-provoking intervention, former Osun APC Media Director, Ismail Omipidan, revisits his December 2025 political predictions and raises serious questions about the implications of the Osun State Government's ongoing warning strike over local government funds.
He warns that the controversial political alliance between Accord and APC, if not properly managed, could become a liability rather than an advantage, particularly as the 2027 presidential and National Assembly elections approach.
In this piece, Omipidan examines what he describes as political blackmail, cautions genuine supporters of President Bola Ahmed Tinubu against the unfolding situation, and argues that APC's greatest threat may come from within its own ranks.
Read his full intervention below.
Osun's "Warning Strike" and the Politics of Blackmail Ahead of 2027
By Ismail Omipidan
"Conclusively, having highlighted some of the steps to be taken by the APC to win the next election, I make bold to conclude that it is only APC that can defeat APC. Therefore, distinguished ladies and gentlemen, the ball is in your court. How you play it will determine whether APC will win or not. What I can say for certain is that once APC is able to win the governorship election, the 2027 election will be a walkover, because historically, once the governorship is won by a particular party, there is usually a bandwagon effect. The case in point is 2011 after the emergence of Aregbesola as governor, 2015 after his re-election, 2019 after Oyetola's emergence, and 2022 after the emergence of the incumbent dancing governor.
I thank you for listening."
That was the concluding part of my presentation at Alubarika House, Osogbo, in December last year, when I was invited as Guest Speaker at the Progressives e-Group's 2025 Dinner and Political Discourse. With the benefit of hindsight, I can say today that most of the things I predicted have come to pass. Why am I revisiting it?
When the contrived, forced marriage between Accord and APC was hatched and foisted on Osun by some intellectually dishonest individuals, blinded by inordinate ambition and hatred for a single individual, I warned that if not well handled, it might backfire. I recall suggesting that there should have been genuine steps to reconcile political gladiators between the two parties before contemplating such a forced political marriage.
Now, the results of that contrived marriage are beginning to show.
The same government that is leading the campaign for the President's re-election is also at the forefront of discrediting the same candidate before the people of Osun.
This piece is not meant to be long. It is simply an attempt to call on genuine lovers of Mr. President in Osun, to put on their thinking caps and see how they can wriggle out of the current blackmail tool being deployed by the Osun State Government in the name of a "warning strike" over local government funds. Olohun o ni se yin ni adarun mo o to o.
These are indeed interesting times in Osun State. I am sure this is just the beginning as we inch towards the 2027 presidential and National Assembly elections.
Before I go, I know some people will curse and abuse me for this. That is nothing new. If you have anything meaningful or constructive to discuss, I will gladly engage you. But if your response is limited to insults and curses, may they follow you, Bi'iznillah.
I remain my humble-self. Iree o!

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